Woke up this morning with Zeta looking like a storm that is thinking about becoming a hurricane. And I was sceptical about GFDL all week - looked ludicrous compared to the other models earlier in the year but now it is making them look weedy. GFDL has generally tended to be bullish, but very often right. NHC say there has been no known hurricane form in January. If Zeta does, it will be the final straw in Margie's 2005 SOBR effect.

That corner of the Atlantic certainly seems to be a breeding ground for storms just now.

Happy new year

B