Clark
(Meteorologist)
Thu Jan 05 2006 07:27 AM
Re: [Jaws music]

Nah, I think this is probably Zeta's last hurrah. There's quite the sharp trough just to its west that, while it may fracture, has a pretty strong jet coming behind it. The first sharp trough & Arctic outbreak of 2006 is about to hit the East coast over the next two days; this should help to amplify the pattern downstream and help to capture or kill this pesky tropical storm. Given how it looks now, probably the latter. Zeta may still flare some convection to the NE over the next day or so, but the final bell is about to toll on the 2005 hurricane season.

It may come close to the longevity of the 2nd Alice from 1954-55, though I feel it won't quite make it. Coincidentally enough, Alice formed a bit further west of where Zeta formed and travelled west-southwest to southwest through much of its lifetime before turning back southeast near dissipation in the eastern Caribbean. With the exception of the end game solution, the two storms aren't all that dissimilar.

Hopefully Zeta's the last one we see for awhile...this is supposed to be the off-season, after all!



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