check out what the globals are showing today...
that upper cutoff that most of them were punching northeast and well away from the coast is now shown by most to retrograde and loop cyclonically off the georgia/carolina coast for most of next week. most of them have it getting down to around 1000 mb. there probably isn't enough cold air aloft for it to hybridize, and ssts this time of year are nothing to write home about. the same feature in june would almost definitely become a tropical cyclone. just the same, should be a decent coastal low whaling away at the southeast coast next week. good blustery northeast flow in the southeast coastal plain might get the wildfires running around again, too...
HF 2305z04may