I was going to say something about that if no one else posted. Noticed that myself. Although, it looks like GFS is backing off a bit now, and building the ridge out over the waters a lot more. Still, I would place a small wager that if at least the <1000 mb surface low verifies, with as many tightly-packed isobars look to be in there, and waters at least marginal for some hybridization, we could at least see something that gets invest tagged rather quickly, if nothing else.

In the LJ community I moderate, I recently opined in one of our polls that I think this year we will see a system form the first half of May. Despite the relatively cool SSTs, I see a lot more favorables going on at this time than at the same time last year.