scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Sun May 06 2007 05:16 AM
Re: hybrid watch

Well another season coming up....current system Hank mentions will probably be more subtropical. If they call it Andrea...Im not sure. Tell ya 1 thing....boy with this thing being a nontropical system at the start...this will deepen rapidly to probably 990mb by Monday night into Tuesday. My thinking will follow the ECMWF and the Ukmet... it races south under 30N to maybe 27-28N and 75W then moves WNW or NW towards the SE U.S. but when the system starts to weaken...it might get caught under the next weak surface ridge to its north and move back W or SW near the end of the week. Anyways Gale to Storm force winds off the coast of Florida-SCarolina starting Monday thru most of the week. 0Z nogaps just in and wants to take this generally SW then west for the first 4 days. Again it might be Andrea if it does acquire some tropical characteristics over the 73-78dg water temps..but as it weakens and acquires some...it might move with the LLflow later in the period. Best to wait for this to develop first and see the OZ runs Sunday night (monday morning).


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