clark said something about the gfs being tweaked in early may, that might have something to do with it's recent habit of overdoing low pressure in the tropics.
as far as the seasonal stuff being discussed... looks like the southeast is dry and that the feedback will promote ridging, while it's been wetter than normal further west. there has also been a trend with troughs splitting near the east coast. still months from the meat of the season, but i'm pondering over what this type of pattern would inflict on westward moving tropical systems.
really hard to make a whole lot out of that for now, as there's still a decent subtropical jet ripping by the southern periphery of the area. zonal ridging does seem to rule the day, but things haven't made their way up to their summertime latitudes as of yet.
HF 1431z23may