certainly an interesting start to a potentially active season. it certainly looks like it is attempting to get its act together. the cloud envelope looks as though it is trying to form some structure. unless it really gets organized i dont think we will see the NHC pull the trigger on a classified system ( depression ) this evening. on the other hand though, if they wait until the aircraft reports back tomorrow they will have to scramble up some potential watches or warnings quickly for logistic reasons ( if it warrants ) as this has the potential to start impacting FL as early as tomorrow night. it will also be interesting to see the next set of model runs because i think that some of the plots take this too far west into the panhandle. i think the flow will push it no further north and west than say the tampa area. too early to tell and obviously we will have a much better handle on this system at some point tomorrow.