just looking at vis on that... and our system is right over what would be the loop current. if this was july or later... it be an whole different story, but it is not and this is going to be such a fast moving system, that it wont have any of the ideal condiditons to do anything but bring some good moisture to the state.. and maybe some moderate winds as of right now. SHEAR and the trough!

Agree with clark.. been looking at the HDOB from AF307.... and the drops... Warm core would point to a tropical system, with what the winds they are finding.