if you're looking for something of interest in the next week, it will just about have to be in the western caribbean. down in the sw part there's a bit of itcz convection... aided by divergence southeast of a slowly retreating upper low. some of the forecast models are showing a weak low moving nw from there.... the globals differ in that some kick this energy ne out into the atlantic with the big upper vortex off the east coast drawing it out--others have it sliding nw. none have it doing much in terms of looking like anything but an innocuous little surface low. in any case, it's probably the best chance of anything occurring, and that means we'll probably have another quiet week of waiting for the active part of 2007 to creep closer.
HF 0208z10june