Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Fri Jun 15 2007 02:23 PM
Just Some Notes

Regarding the NHC use of the term 'elsewhere', this is standard practice in the TWO whenever the NHC has highlighted one or more areas in the Outlook. Its just proper english, nothing more, to signify that beyond the areas that have been mentioned, there are no other areas of concern in the basin. Here is a snippet from the Outlook issued on June 1st, prior to the formation of Barry to illustrate the point:

"...THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT
MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN CUBA
AND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS."

The statement does not imply that tropical cyclone development is expected for the areas that were discussed - it only means that these areas have the potential for development OR that the NHC is monitoring these areas.

From the TC Plan of the Day: "INVEST FOR 15/1800Z IN GULF OF MEXICO
CANCELED BY NHC AT 15/1235Z."

Please do not post comments on the economical virtues of RECON on the Main Page - at best, these belong in the E&N Forum. Remember that the Plan of the Day is simply just that - its a Plan. NHC must schedule for these Air Force Reserve resources (aircraft and personnel) in advance of any anticipated need. These requests are often cancelled during the course of a season when the area of initial concern does not develop further.
ED



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