The thing here to remember when reading the NHC discussion is to READ them.. and we tend to want to read into them what we think or want to see.

What did they say when they first brought this up officially..

Conditions might be more favorable in 48 hours.
It looked crummy yesterday, diffuse last night and this morning.. oddly it looks better tonight.

You can at least see the spot where the "center" for lack of a better word where the disturbance is vs the rain that keeps getting blown off to the ne. I'd call it more an impulse, anchored there sort of... the water vapor shows it well as does the other shortwave loop. Warning..the visible will make you go blurry eyed if you keep zooming in.

So... I guess we will see tomorrow morning if they were right and if conditions will be more favorable for development.

Good comment on the front page of this board about watching and learning.

Up til the last few hours I would have laughed the possible system off... I think something *might* be happening.

Keep watching..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

Note the frontal boundary there is changing, air currents are changing and I think shear is getting lighter.