A bit of a shock to run the GFDL on this system and see that IT shows a pretty solid low pressure center moving directly over top of me in 36-48 hours (Tampa area). There is VERY little on the satellites in that area right now and all the convection has been drawn off to the east in the trough. I had a feeling about this area earlier in the week (see forcast lounge), but it really doesn't look like much at this point. Be nice to have a solid rain event out of it though. We'll keep watching