danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Thu Jun 21 2007 09:39 PM
Western Caribbean Area

After quickly checking various model outputs. The only mention of a tropical system... at any level. Was from 3 sources.
The Weather Channel, New Orleans NWS office and the Lake Charles NWS Office. The only other NWS Offices that I checked were Jackson,MS and Mobile,AL.

At this time none of the HPC Forecast discussions mention anything in the Gulf of Mexico or the Caribbean. Other than diurnal thunderstorms.

New Orleans has the best mention with the system forecast to move around the western edges of the High pressure ridge.
From present postion to just over/ near the Yucatan Peninsula, to the Texas/ Western Louisiana area... By Sunday.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=AFDLIX&max=61

None of the current (through 12z) models are depicting any increase in intensity beyond the current MCS type system.

Stay tuned. Now back to the FL Mid-Upper Low just east of Jacksonville...



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