Rich B
(British Meteorologist)
Tue Jul 03 2007 05:31 PM
Re: Waiting...But Not Quite There Yet

Hi guys,
just been looking at 96L and quite surprised. Even NHC now suggest further development is possible, as per the latest TWO. SSD had it labeled as 'too weak' at 0545Z today, yet 6 hours later at 1145Z it was at T1.5/T1.5. Visible imagery shows decent banding, but this is mostly at low levels. The only deep convection is poorly organised in the southern semi-circle - probably due to dry air ingestion. If the system can mix this out, then it has a shot as it heads west through conditions which are not too forbidding. Certainly worth watching if you live in the Caribbean Islands!!


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