hmm... very nice blow up of convection near 53w 10n... kinda coming in behind the wave in front of it, thats already into the caribbean... Noticed the CMC again trying to throw something up the east side of the US late this weekend/next week... For some reason, when CMC starts to jump around... i think its a sign things are beginning to change.. This wave/convection out in the ATL... got my attention as of right now... see if it can hold for another 24-48hrs as it approaches the islands... needs to gain some lat., and i think it will... like the wave in carb. is clearing the path somewhat for the next wave... i also noticed that in the atl, east of 40w and 10n or so... things are not that as hostile as say two - three weeks ago in the Upper levels... at the surface... still a good push though around the ridge in the Atlantic, from east to west....

[url=http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html]Central Atlantic - AVN Color Infrared Loop[/url]

Water Vapor can kinda help show the mid-to-upper level patterns...near this feature
[url= http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html]Central Atlantic - Water Vapor Loop[/url]

Just a sit and wait... see what happens... if it will make through the night or not.... waters get more warmer the more it heads west now.... and not to much shear aloft near it... didn't get much mention in the 8:05pm TWD tonight, except for [url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/182359.shtml?]Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion[/url] ADDITIONAL SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 N OF THE ITCZ W OF 54W.