cieldumort
(Moderator)
Wed Aug 01 2007 05:00 PM
Re: TD4?

With all due respect to 99L, I have grown -much- more concerned with the feature in the GOM
INVEST .

By all accounts, 99L is "almost there" - or even there if the hunters can close off a low and find at least a feeble warm core before flying out of it. However, it's still approaching the eastern Caribbean to encounter a not ideal region of fairly dry air.

On the other hand, our new Invest in the NE GOM is enjoying abundant water vapor and low shear. At the very least, a mid-level coc is now forming. (Link to the RGB enhanced loop above). This feature is land-locked. At the very least, someone is going to get tropical cyclone-like conditions.


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