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A few things on our erstwhile systems. 99L seems to be doing the convection pulse. it's a broad system and looks fairly skeletal, but convection appears to be back on the rise as night falls. The system is heading into the hurricane 'graveyard' so it may not take hold. However if it's classified tomorrow morning then I think it'll start the long trek and be around for a while. If it's not together by then, I doubt it will ever form into an organized system. the GOM mess (blob) is interesting because the concentration of storms appears to be along the old frontal boundary with the NWS locating a low pressure center just on the tip of Louisiana. It certainly has a decent shot of getting together as the entire cluster of storms is going nowhere fast and appears to have a high pressure aloft to help organize the system rather quickly if conditions persist. I think the odds 50/50 for each system. maybe better. They both look pretty durn healthy. (of course I still may be stuck in 2005 mode) |