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The cyclonic circulation moving west from the Bahamas is in the mid and upper levels and the circulation around that is affecting the area near Cuba/Jamaica. However that area is persisting and there is not much real directional movement, which means it needs to be watched. A weak trough is dropping southward toward the Florida peninsula which is supposed to enhance instability in conjunction with the aforementioned mid-level low... I would suspect that if anything does "go" in the western Carribean it will move generally westward. EDS |