well a few of the 00z runs are up..... this looks to be our first system of the cape this year, that has the best chance down the road of forming... looking at the sats this evening... this is the healthiest one so far this season... and like others have said... its got to survive the next few days as it crosses the Atlantic.... but looks like it could stay south of the ridge and enter the islands... we really don't know until we get a couple of runs on this invest. Maybe by late monday into tuesday, we should have a better handle on what the long term sceneros may be on this system... But the WAVE train in running now... and its nothing new... just we didn't have that many last year form that close to the Cape, due to alot of dust....

****By the way i saw a story... one of the HRD researchers... will look for it online... he's been with NOAA/HRD for a long time and said on camera, that the signals are coming together now... with la nina type pattern... its looking more likely that the atlantic could get busy in the coming weeks...*** he's expecting this system could be the start to an active period going into the peak of hurricane season***