Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Aug 13 2007 02:23 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #4 Forms in Far Eastern Atlantic

04L:

GFDL is showing this thing growing strong before it hits the windwards. Definately a storm to watch.

Not sure what is up with FSU TCGenisis site - seems to be half broken (the page is unskinned and half the model runs won't load). Cyclone Phase also seems to be lacking data at FSU. Alternative site with the GFDL model runs (though looks like the GFS is broken there too): http://met.psu.edu/tropical/tcgengifs/


91L:
Looking at the UKMET, the predicted track takes it north and then swings west into southern TX. The question is how much it will be able to develop before it hits. Right now it's still disorganized pre-TD status.

I'm tracking it via vorticity since without FSU's site working I can't get the resolution for MSLP on my alternate source for the UKMET.

UKMET - vorticity shown:
http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/model?MO...one&C1=pmsl



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