Aboz,

Essentially we have a system growing out in the Atlantic. It's too soon to know what it will do, but almost all the models are strengthening it and taking it toward the US. It is still a week away from being a threat to the Windward islands. I wouldn't concern yourself too much until it's closer to the US.

Some models develop it into a strong storm heading into the gulf, others send it fish-spinning off into the north Atlantic. It is just too soon to know what it will do.

Models tend to be inaccurate before a system hits at least TS strength, and track is always inaccurate with tropical systems. I'd wait a few days, see what it's doing, and be ready in case it is a threat.

Also, welcome to the site! If you have questions about what the models mean, go ask them over in the (I'm guessing Ask/Tell or Forecast Lounge), rather than in the news thread.

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OUSHAWN:

Take a look at the vorticity data for track. It's too weak for the pressure contours to pic up on on most model sources.

For instance, look near the Yucatan tip: http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-...;hour=Animation