MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Wed Aug 15 2007 12:21 AM
Re: Preparedness

Quote:

looks like dean is weaking dry air intraining the center if this dont filter out dean could be down graded to depression or even a open wave wind shere is also a factor dont look good in the short term good news for everybody




It's not going to get downgraded, It's been sheared a little, but man does it have an impressive low level circulation center. As long as it keeps that, it'll re intensify pretty quickly.

The quickscat shows it

It just means if when the shear it's encountering now goes down a bit, it'll flare up quite a bit. If it gets disrupted, it may still yet fall apart, but I wouldn't bet on it. Watch how it persists overnight. Already convection is firing up again near the center of circulation.





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