Boy, I tell you as interested as I am trying to be in TD5 since it's closer to home, Dean is starting to scare me a little. Of course it's terribly early to be worrying, but the GFS is starting to hone in on an area that I am not comfortable with, and that's the Louisiana coastline. The NHC is very comfortable with what the GFS is doing with Dean and has shifted the 5AM track southward for a run right through the Caribbean with Jamaica now bearing the brunt of the trouble as opposed to Puerto Rico and the Dominican. Still plenty of time to watch, but I don't like what I am seeing right now with Dean. If the 5 day forecast of the NHC holds as now shown, I see no way how Dean stays out of the GOM. Yuck!