Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Aug 15 2007 09:39 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Dean Forms in East Atlantic, Tropical Depression 5 Forms in Gulf

We have 2 recons scheduled for the GOM system (TD5) today and 1 recon for it tomorrow.

We have 2 recons scheduled for Dean tomorrow.

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Quickscat looks impressive for Dean still, but the satellite presentation isn't as good - definately looks to have been affected by some dry air. Even so, Dean has a tightly wound core right now with microwave imagery showing deep convection wrapping most of the way around. I would expect it to make hurricane today.

Meanwhile TD5 looks sheared, with the main convection not over where the quickscat shows the rotation to be located. We need a few more satellite overpasses, though, for other imagery: nothing good for over 6 hours.

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References:
Quickscat
Microwave imagery: NRL SSMIS overpass 85GHz.


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