Hey Scott,

Reading your posts you seem 90% sure that Dean will NOT be a East Coast Event.
It looks like Dean will pass through "Heberts Box":
http://www.hurricanecity.com/hebertbox.htm
Doesn't this statement apply?
"Every Major Hurricane that passed through Box 2 late in the year, hit the Florida peninsula prior to 1950. Hebert says that a Hurricane does not have to pass through these boxes to hit, but if they do "you better pay attention"
Looking at the Visible:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html
It sure looks like to me that Dean might be making a jog N.
I think the center of Dean will be N of the next Forecast point looking at the above link.
It's my GUESS, but I still think that Dean will be a S Florida event. When Monday gets here we will all know for sure.
(disclaimer) by NO means am I trying to be acusitory, I value your opinion, and have been reading your posts for years.