To me, it looks like Dean is bobbling, wobbling, or tracking north of the projected path.

It's too soon to tell if this trend will maintain. It could just as easily jog south again. Or speed up. Or stall. Or ... whatever.

I would suggest staying calm and reasonable -- this storm will most likely wobble, shimmy, and shake itself back and forth across the "LBL" for quite some time until it's close enough to the CONUS and GOM for models to give us more reliable data.

At this point, anything beyond three days out is totally guesstimation on the part of the software used to generate models.