mikethewreck
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Aug 15 2007 08:00 PM
Re: Dean And Erin

Isn't the Hebert box simply a statistical tool developed before sophisticated models were available? A bright forecaster looked at historical storm tracks and recognized most Florida storms came through a certain area of the ocean. But each storm is unique and lives in a unique environment. I'd trust the analytical models based on the real world environment more but I'll definitely keep an eye on storms transiting the Hebert box.


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