Re: Twizted Sizter's post re: Hebert box, in which he or she wrote: "9 out of 10 that pass thru impact S Fl...maybe Dean will be that 1 that misses if he passes thru it. Andrew & Betsy didn't pass thru & who can forget them? As an interesting aside based on the earlier spaghetti models they went thru the 2nd Hebert Box. The 2nd box only applies to a developing or moving storm before Oct 1.
Charley '04, Frances "04, & Wilma '05 were our most recent ones."

There is much confusion about the stastical meaning of the Hebert box (really, 2 boxes), but regarding the first box that you are discussing, it is absolutely NOT true that 9 out of 10 storms that pass through that box impact South Florida. It may be true that 9 out of 10 strong hurricanes that impact South Florida during August and September pass through that box (although I think the number is somewhat lower), but that does not mean that 9 out of 10 that pass through the box impact South Florida. In fact, I'm almost certain that fewer than half - maybe significantly fewer than 1/2 - that pass through th box do NOT affect South Florida.

I hope that clears that up a bit.

-Brad