(Weather Guru)

Thu Aug 16 2007 12:01 PM

Re: Hebert Box

Remember the NHC states in their advisory that the margin of error is 225NM on day 4 & 300NM on day 5 in regards to track. Intensity averages 20kt each day. Based on that don't focus on any track past Saturday really. Personally I go by 24hr tracks...so many things can change.
Recon will give better data to be inputed into the models & specific areas that will be affected in the future can be narrowed down. The main concern is to those in the islands right now.

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