At the risk of having this post moved elsewhere ... it seems there is some confusion regarding Hebert's box. If a hurricane passes through box No. 1, it does NOT mean that the storm has a 90 percent chance of hitting South Florida (or any other specific location) as a major hurricane. What it DOES mean -- at least the way I'm interpreting it on various Web sites -- is that 90 percent of major hurricanes that have hit Miami-Dade, Broward or Palm Beach since 1900 have passed through the box. Repeat -- it does not mean that 90 percent of all hurricanes that pass through the box hit South Florida as major hurricanes. So yes, South Florida should watch anything that passes through Hebert's box, but I feel that way about anything that heads in our general direction, Hebert's box or not.