First and foremost, the models are going everywhere! GFS heads it to Mexico, GFDL heads it to Luisiana (around Lake Charles), NOGAPS heads it towards Texas... All in all, we don't know where Dean will head. Models can't grasp the fact that it is already a strong Hurricane and as it head sin teh Carribean, it can do anything.. like Katrina, it can make it's own projected path because the storm will be soo strong. So lets not put at least the Panhandle of FL out of the scene. It is safe to say though that the East Coast will be spared. Though folks all over the GOM needs to moniter Dean as weird things will happen. Remember Ernesto, It was forecast to track into the GOM, instead it did it's own thing accompanied by an ULL and barely went up the East Coast.. remember hurricanes have minds of there own.