Ok, so Dean looks quite good on satellite, with a decent CDO, but no visible eye as yet - despite his intensity as a Strong Cat 1. Recon are now sending back obs so will be good to see what they find as they get closer to the centre. Looks as if Dean will pass probably to the north of Barbados, very near to St Lucia or Martinique, as a strong Cat 2 or possibly a low-end Cat 3 on Friday. The general consensus is for a motion towards the Yucatan, possibly with a side swipe at the Caymans. It looks like most of the greater antilles islands will miss the worst of the system though at present.