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Yes the ULL and ridge situation is playing havoc with the models. This is likely going to make the long range models fairly useless for the next few days (Even moreso than usual). This is why I think the entire gulf needs to watch this system. And I don't just mean the Western Gulf of Mexico, either. To quote Frank P from this site, "Stress levels among the coast will be extremely high this weekend.." Model flip flops won't help. Being calm and not overreacting is the better course, watching what the system does. Note, that just because it is forecast to be a very strong hurricane in the Gulf does not mean it will be so at landfall, many times some unforseen weakness in the system happens before landfall too. Being aware is fine, but don't stress out over these things. |