Seems that a lot of attention is being made towards climatology and historical tracks. While there are some storm tracks that are historically similar to Dean, we need to remember, and I may be stating the obvious, that historical storms have no affect on which way the storm will go, just speculation.

Anyway, I am sitting here in Louisiana watching this storm, somewhat anxious/nervous. But what is interesting me is how far to the east the GFDL brings Dean, and as a category four or five. If this comes true or something similar to it, Galveston, Houston, Beaumont, and southwestern Louisiana are going to be in for quite a rough ride. My prediction is basically anywhere from the Mississippi-Alabama border (though this is likely to far east) and westwards.