scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Fri Aug 17 2007 05:15 PM
Re: Hurricane Dean Approaches Lesser Antilles

First 60 hrs or so the models are converging on a Jamaica or just north of Jamaica. Alot has been said of the interaction with Hisapiola and even Cuba down the road. Also the speed of the upper low moving across the gulf. Clark pretty much said what could happen. Most us agree for the first 48-60 hrs the path with the models. After that...we are unsure exactly if there will be a WNW component still or if the upper low gets drawn fast enough westerward for a bend more W till it nears the Yucitan. 1 thing I been noticing is the upper ridge drifted W towards eastern Tx last night into today. That might want to not have a pull on the upper low so quick to the west. Right now uncertainties.


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