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The GFDL went back west to mid Texas, however. Still not trusting the long range models, however (Either direction).
The real question for the shorter term is whether Dean actually makes landfall over the Yucatan. If it does, it will weaken, some at least, temporarily. If it doesn't, we're looking at a cat 5 hurricane entering the Gulf. Even if it moves over to Texas, the waves and high surf that will be generated will impact much of the coastline. I still remember Ivan, which generated incredible storm surge and waves even though it had weakened significantly by landfall.
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Re: Dean