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This is just observation and no indication of how I think right now, I'm still thinking the NHC is generally correct, but I mentioned watching the trends, here's an updated satellite image with the track plotted and the current movement extrapolated.
Mostly interested to see how things are tonight.
Excellent graphic, Mike. I believe the NHC will need to make minor adjustments to the track, but that is to be expected with any storm. It looks like Dean is going to move just north of Jamaica, and just south of Haiti, based upon the current movement, which also looks to be in a straight line, rather than a wobble about the forecast line.
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Re: Hail