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The wildcard in all this is the ULL currently in the Gulf of Mexico. If this ULL continues West and moves out of the way, Dean should continue on its projected path.
However, if this ULL slows down or stalls in the Western Gulf Coast, it would basically block Dean from going West and force him more North in the Gulf of Mexico. We'll know for sure when Dean inches closer to the Yucatan peninsula.
The chances of this happening now are pretty low, I'm finding nothing that would indicate that happening now. The NHC really is probably going to nail the future path of this storm pretty well.
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Re: Dean Continues