rmbjoe1954
(Weather Master)
Sun Aug 19 2007 04:03 PM
Re: Wave CMC modeled

Here are the NHC thoughts of the wave that the CMC is developing...

...TROPICAL WAVES...
THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 46W IS ADJUSTED
AHEAD BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...SURFACE DATA AND SSMI-DERIVED
PRECIPITABLE WATER. THIS IS A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE TILTED ALONG
20N49W 15N52W 8N54W. A 101O MB SFC LOW IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 11N53W. CU LINES DEFINE THE EXPOSED CENTER OF THE LOW.
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND ON THE
NORTHERN END OF THE WAVE FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 46W-50W. SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM WEST OF THE LOW. THIS TROPICAL WAVE
WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TONIGHT AND INTO THE
NE CARIBBEAN MON.


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