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Dean is very simple for a forecast. All the global models agree and the GFDL,FSU SuperEns take this just south of Cozumel.. ( I feel good enough south of there) and into the BOC then somewhere near Tampico Mx. TX chance of getting more then a feeder band is less then 10%. Its been like this for 36hrs now on its MX forecasted path. There is nothing to take this more NW as the ridge will be strong over the SE U.S. and because of this ridge...we might have to look east of the bahamas on Weds-Fri. |