| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Mon Aug 20 2007 01:45 AM |
|
Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West
|
If Dean does follow the model consensus it will likely spin itself down over old Mexico (mountains can be quite brutal on tropical cyclones there). Leftover moisture and vorticity in the mid-levels would possibly enhance the monsoon. It is almost unheard of to get a truly intact tropical depression in Arizona from -this- direction. Much better odds for that from the east pac (riding up the Gulf of California, or cutting across Baja, and then into the state, etc.)