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The next recon should show us a good indication on if Dean is going to make cat5. Eye does look to be elongating a little n/s so not sure if its just a bit of a wobble or if there's a ERC in the works. I estimate CAT3 back over water, unsure if there will be much more strengthening than that before he makes landfall again. I'm sure mexico isn't too happy but lets be happy he's not going to turn the corner into the GOM. A deep n-n/e run up the GOM this time of year would be NASTY. |