Psyber
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Aug 20 2007 01:51 PM
Re: Dean Past Jamaica, Still Moving West

Quote:

I'm looking at the latest models I can see. It seems that the CMC still has something crossing central Florida later in the week, but not the "storm" it showed for the last few runs. The GFS & UKMET still don't show anything.



the 1-2-3 model shows a fairly sizable area in the eastern carribean to watch as well in the next 48 hours. There isn't much there yet to forcast with so it's still very early to be placing anything striking anywhere until a real component shows up with some decent steering.

As for Dean:

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...18.0 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB.

nothing really new to report, slight strengthening per forcast...I think that Honduras is affecting the inflow a little bit right now


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