| Psyber |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Tue Aug 21 2007 12:38 PM |
|
Re: Dean Makes Landfall in Mexico as a Category 5 Hurricane
|
Quote:
"178 KT AVERAGED OVER THE LOWEST 150 METERS OF THE SOUNDING."
Would be interesting to hear, what kind of things have to be taken into account, if you want to make an estimation of the surface wind with the help of this data!
145 kt by the NHC seems to be very conservative!?
They'll do a post hurricane analysis of the real data and put a definate speed/barometer reading on Dean before they retire him. Unfortunately for Mexico, theres really not a whole lot of difference between 160, 165 and 170mph, all three are going to scour the land of anything not bolted into concrete. There was also the potential for up to an 18 foot storm surge,(there are reports of many piers and docks which are gone). So far the deathtoll is at 7(before landfall in Mexico so it's sure to go up because no matter how many Katrina's happen, people just refuse to get out of the way of these things)
To be honest, if Dean hadn't run out of ocean, we'd be probably looking at a sub 900/180mph+ hurricane today.