allan
(Weather Master)
Sun Aug 26 2007 06:31 PM
Re: Quiet, for Now, in Late August

upcoming 94L?
Perhaps the disturbed area in the Carribean is the area that the NOGAPS has been and still is trying to develop.. I give it alot of credit, it's done well but the storm looks a bit more north to me then what the NOGAPS has it, not that far south.. It's got a good circulation and if it keeps up, we will be talking about 2 invests, 93L and 94L. Things are gonna get active according to the GFS, after it's excellency on Dean, I believe it!

North Atlantic low
The low in the North Atlantic may be a hybrid low.. but they have a right not to call it a sub-tropical storm, it's not near land, it's barely affecting anyone and it would be a waste of a name.. though, I wouldn't be surprised if they called it subtropical in post analysis. SSTs are in the 70s and 60s and lets not forget how Vince in 2005 formed.. So it's a possibility but very low in this case. Looks great on Satellite!
GFS model already insists that this is at least subtropical in nature..
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/07082612/13.html
UKMET is hinting at subtropical chararistics
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/ukm/fcst/archive/07082606/8.html
Same appears with the NOGAPS as the UKMET is showing
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/ukm/fcst/archive/07082606/8.html
Amazingly, the CMC is just calling it a cold core low lol
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc/fcst/archive/07082612/8.html

Interesting low!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/vis-l.jpg



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center