doug
(Weather Analyst)
Tue Aug 28 2007 01:27 PM
Re: wave/else

94L well I can see why they put an invest on that system. Certainly has some circulation with a west component. Mottled convection though. While, once these things start to gather convection changes can occur relatively rapidly, I am not sure that will happen to this one. Dean had a well defined circulation at this stage and was able to withstand the forward speed issue and develop. The circulation in this is ill defined and the speed issue will impede development, IMO. I would not expect anything until it gets into the E. Carribean and slows down and gets better moisture support.


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