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Wilmington, NC, afternoon discussion on the disturbance off the coast: LOW CONFIDENCE AS TO DEVELOPMENT AND FUTURE MOVEMENTS OF LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE CAROLINA COAST. MOST OF THE MODELS DO WANT TO SPIN-UP AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A TROUGH-LINE...BUT ALL DIFFER ON POSITION AND STRENGTH. IT SEEMS REASONABLE THAT IF ANYTHING WERE TO DEVELOP...IT WOULD BE OVER THE COURSE OF SEVERAL DAYS. INITIALLY...FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE IN SUBSIDENCE-ZONE ON BACKSIDE OF LOW PRESSURE. HOWEVER...MOISTURE MAY GET DRAWN BACK TO W AHEAD OF DEVELOPING E COAST TROUGH BY END OF PERIOD. |