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Well, I'll throw my 3 cents into the pot, for what it's worth, which is probably something on the order of a penny... I'll start with the Caribbean since it's the closest to land. I can't detect any circulation on the floater... BUT the convection is pretty impresive. It appears to me that the main offshore convection is moving almost due NORTH, though, not WNW. If it can somehow find a nice warm body of water away from the land that its near, it's got a good chance. I'm thinking the Bay of Campeche, or the east or central Gulf, depending upon where the convection goes. It should be designated 95L before too much longer if it holds together, IMHO anyway. 94L is not looking impressive. Lots of water ahead of it, so it's got a chance down the road. |