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Good morning! Based upon my latest observations and the latest data from the Dvorak numbers and the NAVY website, it would almost appear certain that the NHC will upgrade 94L and 96L to Tropical Depressions by the 11AM update. 94L has caught my eye this morning as it appears to have begun to enter the favorable environment the NHC has been referring to over the past several days. About the potential future track of this system, I find it hard to believe that this will move in the same general direction as Dean due to the fact that there is a deep trough creating a large weakness in the high to 94L's north. Due to this fact, I would have to advice all the Greater Antilles to monitor this system. By the end of the day, I am expecting to see at least Tropical Storm Felix, if not Gabrielle also. I will be back around 11 for the next update. |