typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Fri Aug 31 2007 11:39 PM
Re: Tropical Depression #6 Forms East of Caribbean

Quote:

Some of the models are showing a more northern track after four days. Is it possible the high won't build as far as it is supposed to or that
there will be a weakness somewhere? I suppose it is still too early to tell. It looks like it is headed straight for Belize but a lot can
happen in four days so I do not think the Gulf Coast should dismisss the storm just yet.




Anything is possible, first off...

Much of this HAS to be probabilistically derived.

That being said, I refer you back to post # 77637 of this thread.